Support from Abundant Liquidity

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In an endeavor to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) executed a reverse repurchase operation amounting to 318.5 billion yuan for a seven-day term on February 25th, utilizing a fixed rate mechanism for its bidding processThe bid rate was held steady at 1.5%, consistent with preceding ratesOn the same day, an additional 300 billion yuan was made available through a medium-term lending facility (MLF), with a one-year tenureThe bidding rates varied, having a ceiling at 2.2% and a floor at 1.8%, resulting in a final rate of 2%. Post operation, the total MLF balance surged to 4.094 trillion yuan.

Analysts noted that the expiration of MLF in February was projected to reach 500 billion yuan, thus the renewal of 300 billion yuan on February 25 represents a reduction of 200 billion yuan in MLF liquidity for the monthChief Macro Analyst Wang Qing from Dongfang Jincheng highlighted that the PBOC had already conducted a substantial operation in January, releasing 1.7 trillion yuan in a reverse repo to preemptively address the sizeable MLF maturity in FebruaryThis suggests a commitment to maintaining liquidity despite the slow reduction in MLF operations since October 2024.

Furthermore, Wen Bin, Chief Economist at Minsheng Bank, pointed out that the PBOC has augmented its toolbox with various instrumentsDespite the ongoing shrinkage of MLF, since the fourth quarter of the previous year, the central bank utilized bond trading and reverse repos to inject medium to long-term funds, ensuring liquidity remains abundantIn fact, data suggests that between October 2024 and January 2025, the PBOC injected staggering amounts through reverse repos, totaling 4.4 trillion yuan, while also conducting a combined 1 trillion yuan in bond purchases from August to December 2024.

The introduction of the buyout-type reverse repurchase agreement in October 2024 marks a pivotal development in the PBOC's approachThis mechanism allows the central bank to purchase securities from primary dealers, setting a period for the dealers to repurchase those securities

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Through this arrangement, the rights to securities are effectively “bought out,” allowing for the transfer of collateral while enhancing liquidity and security within the interbank market and supporting its international standards.

Under the new monetary policy framework, the PBOC is progressively refining its monetary toolbox, both in terms of types and maturity structures of the instruments availableRecently released reports have emphasized the importance of implementing a prudently relaxed monetary stance, suggesting that policymakers should tactically optimize policy intensity and timing based on domestic and international economic fluctuations, as well as overall market conditionsWen Bin asserted that since 2025, amidst rising external uncertainties and constrained internal policy effectiveness, there exists a stronger emphasis on a “dynamic and adjustable” approach within monetary regulation—striking a balance between various objectives such as economic growth, inflation stabilization, exchange rate stability, and financial security.

In the current economic landscape, the ongoing enrichment of the policy toolkit is indicative of the expanding functionality of monetary policyVeteran industry experts have underscored that beyond the commonly recognized measures of reducing interest rates and reserve requirements, other monetary policy mechanisms play an equally crucial role in macroeconomic regulation, effectively reflecting regulatory intent and yielding visible outcomes.

Take the medium-term lending facility (MLF) as an exampleIt influences funding costs and the scale of credit issuance by adjusting mid-term interest rates, thereby guiding market interest trajectoriesSince its inception in 2014, MLF has been pivotal in stabilizing market expectations and ensuring reasonable liquidity levels

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Similarly, the Standing Lending Facility (SLF) acts as the central bank’s “emergency funding lane,” providing timely support in substantial amounts during instances of short-term liquidity tensions for financial institutions, thus safeguarding the stability of the financial ecosystem.

As financial markets evolve, advancements in the monetary policy toolkit necessitate a dynamic observation of the instruments utilized by the central bankIn various economic scenarios, the PBOC selectively deploys different tools to respond effectivelyFor instance, in circumstances of significant economic downturn or waning market confidence, the central bank may ramp up reverse repo operations to infuse short-term liquidity into the economy, stimulating recoveryConversely, during phases of economic overheating with rising inflationary pressures, the PBOC might rely on reverse repos to withdraw excess funds, curbing market excesses and speculation.

Furthermore, the central bank has been proactive in innovating and implementing new instrumentsA case in point is the carbon reduction support tool, designed to channel low-cost funding to financial institutions, steering financial resources toward greener, low-carbon ventures, thereby aiding China in achieving its carbon peak and neutrality objectivesThis innovative measure not only propels the green transition of the economy but also embodies the integration of monetary policy with broader national strategic objectives.

It is noteworthy that there is a distinct divergence in the utilization of tools during crisis scenarios compared to regular periodsIn times of crisis, like the global financial meltdown of 2008 or the upheaval wrought by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the PBOC typically resorts to more aggressive strategies, including substantial interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, to restore market stability and economic order swiftly

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